Final Score: Yankees 5 - Blue Jays 8
Friday, June 12, 2026 at 7:37 PM ET

Yankees @ Blue Jays

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Yankees
41-26 Rating 1562
Form: LWWWW
Model Probability
51%
49%
Projected margin: New York Yankees +0.2
Blue Jays
33-36 Rating 1522
Form: WWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Yankees Blue Jays
All-time wins 406 340
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.8 4.5
Last meeting 0 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Yankees Blue Jays
Games played 67 69
Avg runs scored 5.1 4.1
Avg runs conceded 3.6 4.3
Win percentage 61% 48%
Away win % / Home win % 61% 56%