Final Score: Cardinals 0 - Cubs 0
Friday, July 3, 2026 at 4:05 PM ET

Cardinals @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cardinals
37-30 Rating 1506
Form: WWWLL
Model Probability
44%
56%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.4
Cubs
36-34 Rating 1519
Form: LLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cardinals Cubs
All-time wins 478 468
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.3 4.2
Last meeting 5 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Cardinals Cubs
Games played 67 70
Avg runs scored 4.6 4.6
Avg runs conceded 4.4 4.5
Win percentage 55% 51%
Away win % / Home win % 56% 57%