Final Score: Pirates 0 - Nationals 0
Sunday, July 5, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET

Pirates @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Pirates
35-35 Rating 1478
Form: LLWLL
Model Probability
48%
52%
Projected margin: Washington Nationals +0.1
Nationals
35-35 Rating 1463
Form: LWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pirates Nationals
All-time wins 346 321
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.3 4.0
Last meeting 7 8

Key Season Stats

Stat Pirates Nationals
Games played 70 70
Avg runs scored 5.1 5.3
Avg runs conceded 4.8 5.4
Win percentage 50% 50%
Away win % / Home win % 48% 36%