Final Score: Blue Jays 0 - Padres 0
Saturday, July 11, 2026 at 8:40 PM ET

Blue Jays @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Blue Jays
34-36 Rating 1524
Form: WLWLW
Model Probability
46%
54%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +0.2
Padres
35-33 Rating 1525
Form: LWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Blue Jays Padres
All-time wins 14 10
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.6 4.0
Last meeting 7 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Blue Jays Padres
Games played 70 68
Avg runs scored 4.1 3.8
Avg runs conceded 4.3 4.1
Win percentage 49% 51%
Away win % / Home win % 39% 50%