Final Score: White Sox 4 - Guardians 3
Monday, October 5, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET
White Sox @ Guardians
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | White Sox | Guardians |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 411 | 423 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average runs | 4.5 | 4.6 |
| Last meeting | 3 | 0 |
| Stat | White Sox | Guardians |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 165 | 163 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.8 | 4.2 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.4 | 4.1 |
| Win percentage | 53% | 52% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 46% | 50% |
Recent Results
White Sox
@ Cleveland Guardians
Oct 3, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 3
3-0
@ Houston Astros
Sep 30, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 10
7-3
@ Houston Astros
Sep 29, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
vs Colorado Rockies
Sep 27, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
vs Colorado Rockies
Sep 26, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 15
6-9
vs Colorado Rockies
Sep 25, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 7
6-1
@ Kansas City Royals
Sep 24, 2026 · Margin: +8 · Total: 10
9-1
@ Kansas City Royals
Sep 23, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
@ Kansas City Royals
Sep 22, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 25
14-11
vs Detroit Tigers
Sep 20, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 9
8-1
Guardians
vs Chicago White Sox
Oct 3, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 3
0-3
@ Kansas City Royals
Sep 27, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Kansas City Royals
Sep 26, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 16
11-5
@ Kansas City Royals
Sep 25, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 21
12-9
@ Boston Red Sox
Sep 24, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1-0
@ Boston Red Sox
Sep 23, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 1
0-1
@ Boston Red Sox
Sep 22, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Athletics
Sep 20, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1-0
vs Athletics
Sep 19, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 18
12-6
vs Athletics
Sep 18, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3