Final Score: White Sox 7 - Astros 3
Wednesday, September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET

White Sox @ Astros

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
White Sox
85-78 Rating 1464
Form: WWLWW
Model Probability
41%
59%
Projected margin: Houston Astros +0.7
Astros
81-82 Rating 1508
Form: WLWWL
Astros

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat White Sox Astros
All-time wins 54 61
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.0 4.8
Last meeting 6 3

Key Season Stats

Stat White Sox Astros
Games played 163 163
Avg runs scored 4.8 4.5
Avg runs conceded 4.4 4.7
Win percentage 52% 50%
Away win % / Home win % 45% 48%