Final Score: Astros 0 - Mariners 0
Tuesday, September 22, 2026 at 9:40 PM ET

Astros @ Mariners

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Astros
32-39 Rating 1506
Form: LWLLW
Model Probability
44%
56%
Projected margin: Seattle Mariners +0.4
Mariners
37-34 Rating 1527
Form: WWLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Astros Mariners
All-time wins 136 104
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.6 4.0
Last meeting 3 8

Key Season Stats

Stat Astros Mariners
Games played 71 71
Avg runs scored 4.6 4.3
Avg runs conceded 5.1 3.8
Win percentage 45% 52%
Away win % / Home win % 44% 54%