Final Score: Braves 6 - Astros 2
Friday, September 18, 2026 at 8:10 PM ET

Braves @ Astros

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Braves
89-64 Rating 1537
Form: WLLWL
Model Probability
49%
51%
Projected margin: Atlanta Braves +0.0
Astros
77-76 Rating 1513
Form: LLWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Braves Astros
All-time wins 323 295
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.2 4.1
Last meeting 8 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Braves Astros
Games played 153 153
Avg runs scored 4.6 4.5
Avg runs conceded 3.9 4.8
Win percentage 58% 50%
Away win % / Home win % 51% 50%