Final Score: Braves 4 - Cubs 8
Wednesday, September 16, 2026 at 7:40 PM ET

Braves @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Braves
89-63 Rating 1539
Form: WWLLW
Model Probability
47%
53%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.2
Cubs
84-68 Rating 1534
Form: WWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Braves Cubs
All-time wins 276 250
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.4 4.3
Last meeting 6 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Braves Cubs
Games played 152 152
Avg runs scored 4.6 5.3
Avg runs conceded 3.9 4.4
Win percentage 59% 55%
Away win % / Home win % 51% 57%