Final Score: Cubs 4 - Reds 6
Friday, September 18, 2026 at 6:40 PM ET

Cubs @ Reds

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cubs
85-68 Rating 1536
Form: WLWLW
Model Probability
52%
48%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.3
Reds
71-82 Rating 1484
Form: WLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cubs Reds
All-time wins 389 417
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.7 4.6
Last meeting 5 7

Key Season Stats

Stat Cubs Reds
Games played 153 153
Avg runs scored 5.3 4.1
Avg runs conceded 4.4 5.1
Win percentage 56% 46%
Away win % / Home win % 53% 47%