Final Score: Cubs 5 - Reds 2
Saturday, September 19, 2026 at 6:40 PM ET

Cubs @ Reds

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cubs
85-69 Rating 1534
Form: LWLWL
Model Probability
52%
48%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.3
Reds
72-82 Rating 1486
Form: LLWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cubs Reds
All-time wins 389 418
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.7 4.6
Last meeting 4 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Cubs Reds
Games played 154 154
Avg runs scored 5.3 4.1
Avg runs conceded 4.4 5.1
Win percentage 55% 47%
Away win % / Home win % 53% 48%