| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 14, 2004 | 4–2 | Pirates +2 | Giants +1.2 | Regular Season | |
| May 14, 2004 | 2–1 | Reds +1 | Dodgers +1.1 | Regular Season | |
| May 14, 2004 | 4–3 | Nationals +1 | Diamondbacks +0.6 | Regular Season | |
| May 14, 2004 | 6–1 | Cubs +5 | Cubs +0.1 | Regular Season | |
| May 14, 2004 | 6–4 | Phillies +2 | Phillies +0.3 | Regular Season | |
| May 14, 2004 | 6–2 | Athletics +4 | Athletics +0.9 | Regular Season | |
| May 14, 2004 | 3–6 | Cardinals +3 | Cardinals +0.0 | Regular Season | |
| May 14, 2004 | 2–0 | Braves +2 | Braves +0.8 | Regular Season | |
| May 14, 2004 | 3–2 | Twins +1 | White Sox +0.1 | Regular Season | |
| May 14, 2004 | 8–3 | Mets +5 | Astros +0.9 | Regular Season | |
| May 14, 2004 | 10–9 | Angels +1 | Angels +0.4 | Regular Season | |
| May 14, 2004 | 9–3 | Red Sox +6 | Red Sox +0.3 | Regular Season | |
| May 14, 2004 | 7–8 | Guardians +1 | Guardians +0.6 | Regular Season | |
| May 14, 2004 | 1–7 | Tigers +6 | Rangers +0.8 | Regular Season | |
| May 14, 2004 | 5–9 | Yankees +4 | Yankees +0.8 | Regular Season |