| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2004 | 4–0 | Reds +4 | Dodgers +1.0 | Regular Season | |
| May 15, 2004 | 5–0 | Nationals +5 | Diamondbacks +0.6 | Regular Season | |
| May 15, 2004 | 7–5 | Cubs +2 | Cubs +0.1 | Regular Season | |
| May 15, 2004 | 3–1 | Athletics +2 | Athletics +0.9 | Regular Season | |
| May 15, 2004 | 11–6 | Braves +5 | Braves +0.9 | Regular Season | |
| May 15, 2004 | 7–4 | Angels +3 | Angels +0.5 | Regular Season | |
| May 15, 2004 | 4–1 | Twins +3 | White Sox +0.0 | Regular Season | |
| May 15, 2004 | 4–7 | Astros +3 | Astros +0.8 | Regular Season | |
| May 15, 2004 | 6–4 | Pirates +2 | Giants +1.1 | Regular Season | |
| May 15, 2004 | 16–5 | Phillies +11 | Phillies +0.3 | Regular Season | |
| May 15, 2004 | 0–4 | Cardinals +4 | Cardinals +0.0 | Regular Season | |
| May 15, 2004 | 4–0 | Red Sox +4 | Red Sox +0.3 | Regular Season | |
| May 15, 2004 | 7–9 | Guardians +2 | Guardians +0.7 | Regular Season | |
| May 15, 2004 | 6–1 | Rangers +5 | Rangers +0.8 | Regular Season | |
| May 15, 2004 | 13–7 | Mariners +6 | Yankees +0.8 | Regular Season |