| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2004 | 0–4 | Orioles +4 | Angels +0.5 | Regular Season | |
| May 16, 2004 | 6–1 | Nationals +5 | Diamondbacks +0.5 | Regular Season | |
| May 16, 2004 | 6–3 | Reds +3 | Dodgers +1.0 | Regular Season | |
| May 16, 2004 | 4–2 | Cubs +2 | Cubs +0.2 | Regular Season | |
| May 16, 2004 | 8–1 | Pirates +7 | Giants +1.1 | Regular Season | |
| May 16, 2004 | 0–11 | White Sox +11 | White Sox +0.0 | Regular Season | |
| May 16, 2004 | 6–7 | Rockies +1 | Phillies +0.4 | Regular Season | |
| May 16, 2004 | 3–2 | Marlins +1 | Cardinals +0.1 | Regular Season | |
| May 16, 2004 | 6–2 | Athletics +4 | Athletics +0.9 | Regular Season | |
| May 16, 2004 | 1–4 | Brewers +3 | Braves +0.9 | Regular Season | |
| May 16, 2004 | 3–2 | Mets +1 | Astros +0.9 | Regular Season | |
| May 16, 2004 | 1–3 | Blue Jays +2 | Red Sox +0.3 | Regular Season | |
| May 16, 2004 | 0–10 | Guardians +10 | Guardians +0.7 | Regular Season | |
| May 16, 2004 | 1–3 | Tigers +2 | Rangers +0.8 | Regular Season | |
| May 16, 2004 | 1–2 | Yankees +1 | Yankees +0.8 | Regular Season |