| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 3, 2004 | 8–4 | Twins +4 | Twins +0.2 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 3, 2004 | 4–5 | Padres +1 | Padres +0.6 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 3, 2004 | 8–5 | Dodgers +3 | Angels +0.2 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 3, 2004 | 6–11 | Rockies +5 | Rockies +0.7 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 3, 2004 | 2–4 | Reds +2 | Reds +0.3 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 3, 2004 | 6–1 | Red Sox +5 | Braves +0.3 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 3, 2004 | 6–7 | Phillies +1 | Phillies +0.9 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 3, 2004 | 8–10 | Astros +2 | Astros +0.4 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 3, 2004 | 3–5 | Pirates +2 | Pirates +0.2 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 3, 2004 | 2–0 | Blue Jays +2 | Blue Jays +0.1 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 3, 2004 | 6–1 | Rays +5 | Marlins +0.9 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 3, 2004 | 6–2 | Athletics +4 | Giants +0.2 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 3, 2004 | 1–8 | Cardinals +7 | Cardinals +0.6 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 3, 2004 | 2–4 | Cubs +2 | Cubs +0.2 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 3, 2004 | 9–10 | Mets +1 | Yankees +0.9 | Regular Season |