| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 4, 2004 | 6–2 | Dodgers +4 | Angels +0.1 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 2004 | 1–2 | Cubs +1 | Cubs +0.2 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 2004 | 2–6 | Diamondbacks +4 | Twins +0.2 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 2004 | 9–6 | Athletics +3 | Giants +0.2 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 2004 | 1–7 | Padres +6 | Padres +0.6 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 2004 | 8–10 | Rockies +2 | Rockies +0.7 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 2004 | 3–4 | Marlins +1 | Marlins +0.9 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 2004 | 1–2 | Cardinals +1 | Cardinals +0.6 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 2004 | 18–3 | Rangers +15 | Astros +0.4 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 2004 | 2–5 | Phillies +3 | Phillies +0.9 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 2004 | 2–6 | Pirates +4 | Pirates +0.3 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 2004 | 4–6 | Nationals +2 | Blue Jays +0.1 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 2004 | 4–5 | Reds +1 | Reds +0.3 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 2004 | 5–6 | Mets +1 | Yankees +0.9 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 2004 | 4–10 | Braves +6 | Braves +0.2 | Regular Season |