| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 5, 2004 | 1–2 | Padres +1 | Astros +0.1 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 5, 2004 | 5–6 | Dodgers +1 | Dodgers +0.7 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 5, 2004 | 0–9 | Twins +9 | Twins +1.0 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 5, 2004 | 11–4 | Braves +7 | Braves +0.6 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 5, 2004 | 2–8 | Orioles +6 | Orioles +0.2 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 5, 2004 | 8–5 | Rangers +3 | Rangers +0.1 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 5, 2004 | 3–10 | Yankees +7 | Yankees +2.2 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 5, 2004 | 3–1 | Pirates +2 | Marlins +0.9 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 5, 2004 | 5–6 | Phillies +1 | Phillies +0.6 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 5, 2004 | 7–4 | Rockies +3 | Giants +1.4 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 5, 2004 | 1–4 | Cardinals +3 | Cardinals +1.0 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 5, 2004 | 0–1 | Brewers +1 | Cubs +0.4 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 5, 2004 | 2–4 | Orioles +2 | Orioles +0.1 | Regular Season |