| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 4, 2006 | 3–11 | Dodgers +8 | Dodgers +0.5 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 2006 | 2–7 | Royals +5 | Twins +1.0 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 2006 | 1–6 | Rockies +5 | Giants +0.1 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 2006 | 3–2 | Blue Jays +1 | Rangers +0.2 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 2006 | 6–3 | Cardinals +3 | Cardinals +0.2 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 2006 | 1–19 | Guardians +18 | Yankees +0.4 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 2006 | 1–2 | Athletics +1 | Athletics +0.5 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 2006 | 6–9 | Rays +3 | Red Sox +1.0 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 2006 | 0–13 | White Sox +13 | White Sox +1.3 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 2006 | 14–6 | Angels +8 | Angels +0.2 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 2006 | 5–6 | Phillies +1 | Phillies +0.3 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 2006 | 2–7 | Astros +5 | Astros +0.8 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 2006 | 2–5 | Brewers +3 | Brewers +0.2 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 2006 | 6–7 | Mets +1 | Mets +1.3 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 2006 | 4–6 | Nationals +2 | Marlins +0.0 | Regular Season |