| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 14, 2009 | 7–4 | Mets +3 | Mets +0.3 | Regular Season | |
| May 14, 2009 | 9–5 | Orioles +4 | Royals +0.6 | Regular Season | |
| May 14, 2009 | 11–7 | Guardians +4 | Rays +0.4 | Regular Season | |
| May 14, 2009 | 3–2 | Yankees +1 | Blue Jays +0.2 | Regular Season | |
| May 14, 2009 | 5–1 | Cardinals +4 | Cardinals +0.5 | Regular Season | |
| May 14, 2009 | 4–5 | Angels +1 | Angels +0.1 | Regular Season | |
| May 14, 2009 | 5–3 | Astros +2 | Astros +0.0 | Regular Season | |
| May 14, 2009 | 3–11 | Cubs +8 | Cubs +1.1 | Regular Season | |
| May 14, 2009 | 2–3 | Rangers +1 | Rangers +0.7 | Regular Season | |
| May 14, 2009 | 5–6 | Twins +1 | Twins +0.4 | Regular Season | |
| May 14, 2009 | 5–3 | Dodgers +2 | Phillies +0.5 | Regular Season | |
| May 14, 2009 | 3–5 | Brewers +2 | Brewers +0.5 | Regular Season |