| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 4, 2023 | 9–7 | Pirates +2 | Dodgers +1.7 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 2023 | 4–3 | Blue Jays +1 | Blue Jays +0.3 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 2023 | 5–6 | Guardians +1 | Braves +0.5 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 2023 | 1–0 | Athletics +1 | Tigers +0.5 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 2023 | 5–8 | Padres +3 | Padres +0.4 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 2023 | 6–0 | Mariners +6 | Giants +0.3 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 2023 | 8–5 | Mets +3 | Diamondbacks +0.1 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 2023 | 7–6 | Cubs +1 | Brewers +0.8 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 2023 | 1–4 | Astros +3 | Astros +1.7 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 2023 | 3–1 | Phillies +2 | Rays +0.7 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 2023 | 3–9 | Twins +6 | Twins +1.1 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 2023 | 6–2 | Rangers +4 | Red Sox +0.5 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 2023 | 2–15 | Marlins +13 | Marlins +0.0 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 2023 | 4–8 | Yankees +4 | Yankees +0.8 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 2023 | 8–4 | Reds +4 | Reds +0.4 | Regular Season |