| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2023 | 1–4 | Phillies +3 | Phillies +0.8 | Wild Card | |
| Oct 3, 2023 | 6–3 | Diamondbacks +3 | Brewers +0.8 | Wild Card | |
| Oct 3, 2023 | 1–3 | Twins +2 | Blue Jays +0.1 | Wild Card | |
| Oct 3, 2023 | 4–0 | Rangers +4 | Rays +1.0 | Wild Card |