| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2023 | 1–7 | Phillies +6 | Phillies +0.8 | Wild Card | |
| Oct 4, 2023 | 5–2 | Diamondbacks +3 | Brewers +0.8 | Wild Card | |
| Oct 4, 2023 | 0–2 | Twins +2 | Blue Jays +0.1 | Wild Card | |
| Oct 4, 2023 | 7–1 | Rangers +6 | Rays +0.9 | Wild Card |