| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2025 | 3–4 | Braves +1 | Dodgers +0.4 | Regular Season | |
| May 4, 2025 | 4–5 | Cardinals +1 | Mets +0.3 | Regular Season | |
| May 4, 2025 | 4–1 | Nationals +3 | Reds +0.6 | Regular Season | |
| May 4, 2025 | 13–1 | Tigers +12 | Tigers +0.7 | Regular Season | |
| May 4, 2025 | 3–9 | Giants +6 | Giants +1.4 | Regular Season | |
| May 4, 2025 | 1–8 | Rangers +7 | Mariners +0.2 | Regular Season | |
| May 4, 2025 | 0–4 | Brewers +4 | Brewers +0.3 | Regular Season | |
| May 4, 2025 | 4–5 | White Sox +1 | Astros +1.5 | Regular Season | |
| May 4, 2025 | 11–9 | Diamondbacks +2 | Phillies +0.4 | Regular Season | |
| May 4, 2025 | 3–2 | Athletics +1 | Marlins +0.3 | Regular Season | |
| May 4, 2025 | 5–4 | Guardians +1 | Guardians +0.0 | Regular Season | |
| May 4, 2025 | 11–6 | Royals +5 | Orioles +0.5 | Regular Season | |
| May 4, 2025 | 5–4 | Twins +1 | Red Sox +0.4 | Regular Season | |
| May 4, 2025 | 7–5 | Rays +2 | Yankees +0.5 | Regular Season | |
| May 4, 2025 | 4–0 | Padres +4 | Padres +0.8 | Regular Season | |
| May 4, 2025 | 5–6 | Cardinals +1 | Mets +0.3 | Regular Season |