Astros @ Mariners
Astros
Model Probability
Mariners
Seattle Mariners +0.1
Seattle Mariners
MLB 2026 season
Record
73-83
VS EXPECTED
-8.7
Rating
1497
Rating Rank
14
Season Outlook
Full Playoff ChancesRating trend through time
| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | 2–1 | Mariners +1 | Mariners +0.9 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 19, 2026 | 3–5 | Rockies +2 | Mariners +0.9 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 18, 2026 | 5–4 | Mariners +1 | Mariners +0.9 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 16, 2026 | 7–2 | Mariners +5 | Mariners +0.5 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 15, 2026 | 1–2 | Angels +1 | Mariners +0.5 | Regular Season |
| Matchup | Record | Win % | Vs Expected | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mariners Rangers | 395-379 | 51.0% | +16.4 | 751 |
| Mariners Angels | 355-408-4 | 46.5% | -13.2 | 748 |
| Mariners Athletics | 365-396 | 48.0% | +0.7 | 741 |
| Mariners Twins | 253-241-1 | 51.2% | +9.7 | 486 |
| Mariners Royals | 242-250 | 49.2% | +1.8 | 479 |
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