Final Score: Kings 127 - Heat 111
Saturday, December 6, 2025 at 8:00 PM ET

Kings @ Heat

NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Kings
5-17 Rating 1301
Form: WLLLL
Model Probability
15%
85%
Projected margin: Miami Heat +10.1
Heat
14-9 Rating 1585
Form: WLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Kings Heat
All-time wins 26 47
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average points 100.3 104.6
Last meeting 123 118

Key Season Stats

Stat Kings Heat
Games played 22 23
Avg points scored 111.0 122.8
Avg points conceded 122.8 117.9
Win percentage 23% 61%
Away win % / Home win % 17% 83%