Final Score: Heat 116 - Celtics 129
Friday, December 19, 2025 at 7:00 PM ET
Heat @ Celtics
NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Heat | Celtics |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 75 | 107 |
| Last 5 meetings | 1 | 4 |
| Average points | 99.2 | 101.0 |
| Last meeting | 124 | 103 |
| Stat | Heat | Celtics |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 27 | 26 |
| Avg points scored | 120.2 | 116.2 |
| Avg points conceded | 116.9 | 110.8 |
| Win percentage | 56% | 58% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 38% | 62% |
Recent Results
Heat
@ Brooklyn Nets
Dec 18, 2025 · Margin: +11 · Total: 201
106-95
vs Toronto Raptors
Dec 15, 2025 · Margin: -10 · Total: 202
96-106
@ Orlando Magic
Dec 9, 2025 · Margin: -9 · Total: 225
108-117
vs Sacramento Kings
Dec 6, 2025 · Margin: -16 · Total: 238
111-127
@ Orlando Magic
Dec 5, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 211
105-106
@ Dallas Mavericks
Dec 3, 2025 · Margin: -10 · Total: 226
108-118
vs Los Angeles Clippers
Dec 1, 2025 · Margin: +17 · Total: 263
140-123
vs Detroit Pistons
Nov 29, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 273
135-138
vs Milwaukee Bucks
Nov 26, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 209
106-103
vs Dallas Mavericks
Nov 24, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 208
106-102
Celtics
vs Detroit Pistons
Dec 15, 2025 · Margin: -7 · Total: 217
105-112
@ Milwaukee Bucks
Dec 11, 2025 · Margin: -15 · Total: 217
101-116
@ Toronto Raptors
Dec 7, 2025 · Margin: +8 · Total: 234
121-113
vs Los Angeles Lakers
Dec 5, 2025 · Margin: +21 · Total: 231
126-105
@ Washington Wizards
Dec 4, 2025 · Margin: +45 · Total: 247
146-101
vs New York Knicks
Dec 2, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 240
123-117
@ Cleveland Cavaliers
Nov 30, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 232
117-115
@ Minnesota Timberwolves
Nov 29, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 234
115-119
vs Detroit Pistons
Nov 26, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 231
117-114
vs Orlando Magic
Nov 23, 2025 · Margin: +9 · Total: 267
138-129