Final Score: Heat 126 - Hawks 111
Friday, December 26, 2025 at 7:00 PM ET
Heat @ Hawks
NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Heat | Hawks |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 91 | 70 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average points | 100.1 | 97.5 |
| Last meeting | 123 | 114 |
| Stat | Heat | Hawks |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 30 | 31 |
| Avg points scored | 119.2 | 118.8 |
| Avg points conceded | 117.6 | 119.6 |
| Win percentage | 50% | 48% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 33% | 36% |
Recent Results
Heat
vs Toronto Raptors
Dec 23, 2025 · Margin: -21 · Total: 203
91-112
@ New York Knicks
Dec 21, 2025 · Margin: -7 · Total: 257
125-132
@ Boston Celtics
Dec 19, 2025 · Margin: -13 · Total: 245
116-129
@ Brooklyn Nets
Dec 18, 2025 · Margin: +11 · Total: 201
106-95
vs Toronto Raptors
Dec 15, 2025 · Margin: -10 · Total: 202
96-106
@ Orlando Magic
Dec 9, 2025 · Margin: -9 · Total: 225
108-117
vs Sacramento Kings
Dec 6, 2025 · Margin: -16 · Total: 238
111-127
@ Orlando Magic
Dec 5, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 211
105-106
@ Dallas Mavericks
Dec 3, 2025 · Margin: -10 · Total: 226
108-118
vs Los Angeles Clippers
Dec 1, 2025 · Margin: +17 · Total: 263
140-123
Hawks
vs Chicago Bulls
Dec 23, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 249
123-126
vs Chicago Bulls
Dec 21, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 302
150-152
vs San Antonio Spurs
Dec 19, 2025 · Margin: -28 · Total: 224
98-126
@ Charlotte Hornets
Dec 18, 2025 · Margin: -7 · Total: 259
126-133
vs Philadelphia 76ers
Dec 14, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 237
120-117
@ Detroit Pistons
Dec 12, 2025 · Margin: -27 · Total: 257
115-142
@ Washington Wizards
Dec 6, 2025 · Margin: +15 · Total: 247
131-116
vs Denver Nuggets
Dec 5, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 267
133-134
vs Los Angeles Clippers
Dec 3, 2025 · Margin: -23 · Total: 207
92-115
@ Detroit Pistons
Dec 1, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 197
98-99