Final Score: Grizzlies 124 - Mavericks 105
Friday, February 27, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET
Grizzlies @ Mavericks
NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Grizzlies | Mavericks |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 43 | 80 |
| Last 5 meetings | 5 | 0 |
| Average points | 97.9 | 101.2 |
| Last meeting | 102 | 96 |
| Stat | Grizzlies | Mavericks |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 57 | 58 |
| Avg points scored | 115.4 | 114.5 |
| Avg points conceded | 118.1 | 117.9 |
| Win percentage | 37% | 36% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 32% | 45% |
Recent Results
Grizzlies
vs Golden State Warriors
Feb 25, 2026 · Margin: -21 · Total: 245
112-133
vs Sacramento Kings
Feb 23, 2026 · Margin: -9 · Total: 237
114-123
@ Miami Heat
Feb 21, 2026 · Margin: -16 · Total: 256
120-136
vs Utah Jazz
Feb 20, 2026 · Margin: +9 · Total: 237
123-114
@ Denver Nuggets
Feb 11, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 238
116-122
@ Golden State Warriors
Feb 9, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 227
113-114
@ Portland Trail Blazers
Feb 7, 2026 · Margin: -7 · Total: 237
115-122
@ Portland Trail Blazers
Feb 6, 2026 · Margin: -20 · Total: 250
115-135
@ Sacramento Kings
Feb 4, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 254
129-125
vs Minnesota Timberwolves
Feb 2, 2026 · Margin: +9 · Total: 265
137-128
Mavericks
vs Sacramento Kings
Feb 26, 2026 · Margin: -9 · Total: 251
121-130
@ Brooklyn Nets
Feb 24, 2026 · Margin: +9 · Total: 237
123-114
@ Indiana Pacers
Feb 22, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 264
134-130
@ Minnesota Timberwolves
Feb 20, 2026 · Margin: -11 · Total: 233
111-122
@ Los Angeles Lakers
Feb 12, 2026 · Margin: -20 · Total: 228
104-124
@ Phoenix Suns
Feb 10, 2026 · Margin: -9 · Total: 231
111-120
@ San Antonio Spurs
Feb 7, 2026 · Margin: -13 · Total: 263
125-138
vs San Antonio Spurs
Feb 5, 2026 · Margin: -12 · Total: 258
123-135
vs Boston Celtics
Feb 3, 2026 · Margin: -10 · Total: 210
100-110
@ Houston Rockets
Jan 31, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 218
107-111