Final Score: Thunder 100 - Mavericks 87
Sunday, March 1, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
Thunder @ Mavericks
NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Thunder | Mavericks |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 109 | 100 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average points | 104.8 | 103.3 |
| Last meeting | 132 | 111 |
| Stat | Thunder | Mavericks |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 61 | 59 |
| Avg points scored | 119.5 | 114.4 |
| Avg points conceded | 108.2 | 118.0 |
| Win percentage | 75% | 36% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 72% | 44% |
Recent Results
Thunder
vs Denver Nuggets
Feb 27, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 248
127-121
@ Detroit Pistons
Feb 25, 2026 · Margin: -8 · Total: 240
116-124
@ Toronto Raptors
Feb 24, 2026 · Margin: +9 · Total: 223
116-107
vs Cleveland Cavaliers
Feb 22, 2026 · Margin: +8 · Total: 234
121-113
vs Brooklyn Nets
Feb 20, 2026 · Margin: +19 · Total: 191
105-86
vs Milwaukee Bucks
Feb 12, 2026 · Margin: -17 · Total: 203
93-110
@ Phoenix Suns
Feb 11, 2026 · Margin: +27 · Total: 245
136-109
@ Los Angeles Lakers
Feb 9, 2026 · Margin: +9 · Total: 229
119-110
vs Houston Rockets
Feb 7, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 218
106-112
@ San Antonio Spurs
Feb 4, 2026 · Margin: -10 · Total: 222
106-116
Mavericks
vs Memphis Grizzlies
Feb 27, 2026 · Margin: -19 · Total: 229
105-124
vs Sacramento Kings
Feb 26, 2026 · Margin: -9 · Total: 251
121-130
@ Brooklyn Nets
Feb 24, 2026 · Margin: +9 · Total: 237
123-114
@ Indiana Pacers
Feb 22, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 264
134-130
@ Minnesota Timberwolves
Feb 20, 2026 · Margin: -11 · Total: 233
111-122
@ Los Angeles Lakers
Feb 12, 2026 · Margin: -20 · Total: 228
104-124
@ Phoenix Suns
Feb 10, 2026 · Margin: -9 · Total: 231
111-120
@ San Antonio Spurs
Feb 7, 2026 · Margin: -13 · Total: 263
125-138
vs San Antonio Spurs
Feb 5, 2026 · Margin: -12 · Total: 258
123-135
vs Boston Celtics
Feb 3, 2026 · Margin: -10 · Total: 210
100-110