Final Score: Nuggets 121 - Thunder 127
Friday, February 27, 2026 at 9:30 PM ET

Nuggets @ Thunder

NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Nuggets
37-22 Rating 1648
Form: WLWLW
Model Probability
23%
77%
Projected margin: Oklahoma City Thunder +7.4
Thunder
45-15 Rating 1812
Form: LWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Nuggets Thunder
All-time wins 108 124
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average points 107.3 109.1
Last meeting 111 121

Key Season Stats

Stat Nuggets Thunder
Games played 59 60
Avg points scored 120.5 119.3
Avg points conceded 115.7 108.0
Win percentage 63% 75%
Away win % / Home win % 66% 77%