Final Score: Thunder 82 - Spurs 103
Sunday, May 24, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET

Thunder @ Spurs

NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Thunder
74-19 Rating 1999
Form: WWLWW
Model Probability
44%
56%
Projected margin: San Antonio Spurs +2.8
Spurs
71-25 Rating 1932
Form: WWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Thunder Spurs
All-time wins 107 126
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average points 102.5 104.0
Last meeting 123 108

Key Season Stats

Stat Thunder Spurs
Games played 93 96
Avg points scored 119.2 119.3
Avg points conceded 107.8 110.8
Win percentage 80% 74%
Away win % / Home win % 78% 77%