| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2003 | 88–93 | Hawks +5 | Celtics +0.7 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 23, 2003 | 78–95 | Nets +17 | Nets +10.6 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 23, 2003 | 86–97 | Cavaliers +11 | Pelicans +3.0 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 23, 2003 | 88–97 | Trail Blazers +9 | Trail Blazers +1.2 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 23, 2003 | 78–83 | Bucks +5 | Bucks +1.5 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 23, 2003 | 98–107 | Warriors +9 | Lakers +3.4 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 23, 2003 | 79–71 | Pacers +8 | Rockets +3.1 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 23, 2003 | 90–111 | Spurs +21 | Spurs +11.5 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 23, 2003 | 97–114 | Kings +17 | Kings +8.7 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 23, 2003 | 72–79 | Heat +7 | Heat +4.6 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 23, 2003 | 98–92 | Timberwolves +6 | Timberwolves +3.2 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 23, 2003 | 90–116 | Thunder +26 | Thunder +6.4 | Regular Season |