| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2004 | 84–76 | Hawks +8 | Nuggets +8.7 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 3, 2004 | 88–77 | Celtics +11 | Bulls +1.2 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 3, 2004 | 112–119 | Mavericks +7 | Mavericks +1.8 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 3, 2004 | 93–99 | Pistons +6 | Pistons +7.9 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 3, 2004 | 63–84 | Rockets +21 | Rockets +5.1 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 3, 2004 | 84–91 | Pacers +7 | Pacers +5.5 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 3, 2004 | 116–109 | Kings +7 | Kings +3.2 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 3, 2004 | 103–112 | Grizzlies +9 | Grizzlies +8.0 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 3, 2004 | 83–77 | 76ers +6 | Spurs +12.8 | Regular Season |