| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2004 | 78–68 | Pistons +10 | Celtics +0.4 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 5, 2004 | 82–87 | Bulls +5 | Bulls +2.6 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 5, 2004 | 94–108 | Jazz +14 | Jazz +0.5 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 5, 2004 | 98–74 | Spurs +24 | Spurs +3.9 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 5, 2004 | 65–83 | Rockets +18 | Rockets +8.0 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 5, 2004 | 87–65 | Pacers +22 | Pacers +1.7 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 5, 2004 | 88–76 | Bucks +12 | 76ers +1.6 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 5, 2004 | 108–119 | Thunder +11 | Thunder +4.2 | Regular Season |