| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2004 | 89–97 | Hawks +8 | Timberwolves +5.8 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 4, 2004 | 95–86 | Clippers +9 | Celtics +2.4 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 4, 2004 | 88–99 | Nets +11 | Nets +7.6 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 4, 2004 | 95–79 | Bulls +16 | Jazz +9.6 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 4, 2004 | 111–106 | Lakers +5 | Lakers +0.7 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 4, 2004 | 113–104 | Mavericks +9 | Mavericks +1.6 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 4, 2004 | 89–103 | Rockets +14 | Rockets +4.3 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 4, 2004 | 103–101 | Grizzlies +2 | Grizzlies +3.0 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 4, 2004 | 90–110 | Raptors +20 | Raptors +6.0 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 4, 2004 | 101–97 | Trail Blazers +4 | Suns +2.9 | Regular Season |