| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2004 | 105–85 | Nets +20 | Nets +3.8 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 11, 2004 | 96–94 | Kings +2 | Pistons +0.1 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 11, 2004 | 99–110 | Warriors +11 | Warriors +6.8 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 11, 2004 | 87–102 | Rockets +15 | Rockets +4.3 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 11, 2004 | 102–110 | Grizzlies +8 | Grizzlies +7.3 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 11, 2004 | 111–98 | Heat +13 | Magic +0.4 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 11, 2004 | 77–66 | Timberwolves +11 | Timberwolves +3.7 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 11, 2004 | 98–106 | Pelicans +8 | Pelicans +1.4 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 11, 2004 | 88–113 | 76ers +25 | 76ers +3.9 | Regular Season |