| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2004 | 92–125 | Heat +33 | Heat +5.3 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 20, 2004 | 91–72 | Nets +19 | Nets +3.3 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 20, 2004 | 91–83 | Kings +8 | Kings +7.8 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 20, 2004 | 87–89 | Cavaliers +2 | Spurs +7.4 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 20, 2004 | 98–102 | Magic +4 | Nuggets +3.3 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 20, 2004 | 88–87 | Timberwolves +1 | Timberwolves +0.9 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 20, 2004 | 94–93 | Trail Blazers +1 | Warriors +4.0 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 20, 2004 | 96–87 | Pacers +9 | Pacers +5.7 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 20, 2004 | 88–116 | Lakers +28 | Lakers +8.7 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 20, 2004 | 92–97 | Grizzlies +5 | Grizzlies +10.7 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 20, 2004 | 92–78 | Jazz +14 | Knicks +7.2 | Regular Season |