| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2004 | 104–99 | Magic +5 | Hawks +6.1 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 28, 2004 | 86–92 | Nets +6 | Nets +9.4 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 28, 2004 | 81–87 | Bulls +6 | Warriors +1.7 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 28, 2004 | 91–111 | Mavericks +20 | Mavericks +8.0 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 28, 2004 | 92–117 | Spurs +25 | Spurs +9.8 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 28, 2004 | 74–81 | Pacers +7 | Pacers +11.3 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 28, 2004 | 122–110 | Lakers +12 | Lakers +3.9 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 28, 2004 | 92–97 | Grizzlies +5 | Grizzlies +6.0 | Regular Season |