| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2004 | 118–110 | Thunder +8 | Hawks +1.4 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 16, 2004 | 77–94 | Nets +17 | Nets +0.3 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 16, 2004 | 87–111 | Cavaliers +24 | Cavaliers +10.3 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 16, 2004 | 110–98 | Clippers +12 | Suns +3.6 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 16, 2004 | 79–82 | Grizzlies +3 | Grizzlies +10.5 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 16, 2004 | 83–96 | Heat +13 | Heat +4.4 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 16, 2004 | 100–99 | Trail Blazers +1 | Bucks +1.5 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 16, 2004 | 110–114 | Knicks +4 | Knicks +9.4 | Regular Season |