| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2009 | 90–111 | Hawks +21 | Hawks +11.2 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 10, 2009 | 108–93 | Spurs +15 | Spurs +3.2 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 10, 2009 | 102–107 | Bulls +5 | Bulls +3.0 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 10, 2009 | 95–96 | Pacers +1 | Cavaliers +5.1 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 10, 2009 | 100–118 | Mavericks +18 | Mavericks +13.8 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 10, 2009 | 99–82 | Nuggets +17 | Nuggets +0.8 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 10, 2009 | 127–144 | Warriors +17 | Warriors +4.3 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 10, 2009 | 98–105 | Lakers +7 | Lakers +16.6 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 10, 2009 | 110–102 | Raptors +8 | Timberwolves +4.2 | Regular Season |