| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2009 | 99–95 | Hawks +4 | Pistons +3.2 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 11, 2009 | 89–77 | Celtics +12 | Celtics +1.6 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 11, 2009 | 89–101 | Hornets +12 | Hornets +9.9 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 11, 2009 | 92–109 | Cavaliers +17 | Cavaliers +9.7 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 11, 2009 | 82–73 | Nuggets +9 | Magic +6.2 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 11, 2009 | 82–94 | Rockets +12 | Rockets +12.6 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 11, 2009 | 110–122 | Bucks +12 | Bucks +4.2 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 11, 2009 | 124–128 | Clippers +4 | Knicks +0.1 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 11, 2009 | 109–113 | Jazz +4 | Lakers +4.3 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 11, 2009 | 87–91 | 76ers +4 | 76ers +12.3 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 11, 2009 | 92–106 | Trail Blazers +14 | Trail Blazers +11.4 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 11, 2009 | 89–91 | Raptors +2 | Spurs +5.8 | Regular Season |