| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2009 | 99–95 | Nets +4 | Bucks +4.8 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 3, 2009 | 80–96 | Hornets +16 | Hornets +3.1 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 3, 2009 | 95–100 | Pistons +5 | Nuggets +0.6 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 3, 2009 | 118–94 | Warriors +24 | Timberwolves +0.8 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 3, 2009 | 97–107 | Rockets +10 | Rockets +10.6 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 3, 2009 | 117–109 | Pacers +8 | Pacers +3.1 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 3, 2009 | 89–99 | Lakers +10 | Lakers +17.9 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 3, 2009 | 99–111 | Magic +12 | Magic +6.2 | Regular Season |