| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2009 | 105–109 | Knicks +4 | Knicks +0.4 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 4, 2009 | 115–111 | Celtics +4 | Celtics +5.8 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 4, 2009 | 88–110 | Bulls +22 | Bulls +4.4 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 4, 2009 | 73–91 | Cavaliers +18 | Cavaliers +12.9 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 4, 2009 | 102–107 | Mavericks +5 | Mavericks +0.5 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 4, 2009 | 94–101 | Jazz +7 | Jazz +4.2 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 4, 2009 | 105–107 | Trail Blazers +2 | Trail Blazers +7.4 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 4, 2009 | 118–95 | Grizzlies +23 | Clippers +5.4 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 4, 2009 | 129–135 | Heat +6 | Heat +0.7 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 4, 2009 | 83–88 | Thunder +5 | Thunder +6.1 | Regular Season |