| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 25, 2009 | 86–77 | Celtics +9 | Magic +3.1 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 25, 2009 | 102–87 | Cavaliers +15 | Lakers +4.3 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 25, 2009 | 96–107 | Trail Blazers +11 | Trail Blazers +2.9 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 25, 2009 | 93–124 | Suns +31 | Suns +10.0 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 25, 2009 | 93–87 | Heat +6 | Knicks +2.8 | Regular Season |