| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 26, 2009 | 110–98 | Hawks +12 | Hawks +4.0 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 26, 2009 | 98–93 | Rockets +5 | Rockets +8.3 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 26, 2009 | 91–98 | Thunder +7 | Thunder +4.3 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 26, 2009 | 85–96 | Bulls +11 | Bulls +3.0 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 26, 2009 | 101–106 | Mavericks +5 | Mavericks +8.6 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 26, 2009 | 127–132 | Warriors +5 | Suns +3.5 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 26, 2009 | 112–103 | Lakers +9 | Lakers +7.7 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 26, 2009 | 112–97 | Spurs +15 | Spurs +0.8 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 26, 2009 | 89–101 | Timberwolves +12 | Wizards +0.0 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 26, 2009 | 76–97 | Jazz +21 | Jazz +10.7 | Regular Season |