| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 25, 2010 | 78–86 | Magic +8 | Celtics +1.4 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 25, 2010 | 95–103 | Knicks +8 | Knicks +0.3 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 25, 2010 | 106–114 | Thunder +8 | Thunder +3.1 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 25, 2010 | 102–109 | Warriors +7 | Trail Blazers +1.4 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 25, 2010 | 96–80 | Heat +16 | Lakers +3.1 | Regular Season |