| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2011 | 88–103 | Timberwolves +15 | Timberwolves +3.1 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 1, 2011 | 91–100 | Bulls +9 | Bulls +12.0 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 1, 2011 | 87–99 | Bucks +12 | Mavericks +2.0 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 1, 2011 | 86–104 | Nuggets +18 | Nuggets +14.8 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 1, 2011 | 107–114 | Heat +7 | Heat +13.6 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 1, 2011 | 92–98 | Jazz +6 | Jazz +7.9 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 1, 2011 | 92–81 | Pelicans +11 | Pelicans +1.5 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 1, 2011 | 74–101 | Spurs +27 | Spurs +8.1 | Regular Season |