| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2011 | 100–101 | Hawks +1 | Hawks +8.2 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 4, 2011 | 101–97 | Mavericks +4 | Celtics +6.1 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 4, 2011 | 82–92 | Pistons +10 | Pistons +5.6 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 4, 2011 | 109–97 | Heat +12 | Heat +3.6 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 4, 2011 | 105–112 | Grizzlies +7 | Grizzlies +14.1 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 4, 2011 | 113–106 | Jazz +7 | Nuggets +6.0 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 4, 2011 | 87–100 | Pacers +13 | Pacers +1.2 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 4, 2011 | 100–111 | Raptors +11 | Raptors +4.3 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 4, 2011 | 98–100 | 76ers +2 | 76ers +4.9 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 4, 2011 | 111–107 | Thunder +4 | Suns +1.2 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 4, 2011 | 110–92 | Magic +18 | Magic +7.1 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 4, 2011 | 113–100 | Spurs +13 | Spurs +8.6 | Regular Season |