| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2011 | 90–102 | Knicks +12 | Knicks +1.3 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 16, 2011 | 80–94 | Celtics +14 | Celtics +14.5 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 16, 2011 | 99–104 | Cavaliers +5 | Lakers +9.2 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 16, 2011 | 100–116 | Mavericks +16 | Mavericks +13.8 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 16, 2011 | 94–87 | Nuggets +7 | Bucks +1.3 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 16, 2011 | 109–115 | Pistons +6 | Pistons +0.4 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 16, 2011 | 107–100 | Warriors +7 | Jazz +4.1 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 16, 2011 | 114–105 | 76ers +9 | Rockets +2.9 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 16, 2011 | 98–90 | Clippers +8 | Timberwolves +0.3 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 16, 2011 | 103–95 | Heat +8 | Heat +9.3 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 16, 2011 | 96–103 | Trail Blazers +7 | Trail Blazers +4.9 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 16, 2011 | 76–101 | Magic +25 | Magic +13.8 | Regular Season |