| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2011 | 106–85 | Heat +21 | Heat +0.9 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 18, 2011 | 77–93 | Rockets +16 | Rockets +1.0 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 18, 2011 | 95–110 | Bucks +15 | Bucks +5.8 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 18, 2011 | 82–99 | Thunder +17 | Thunder +10.8 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 18, 2011 | 108–115 | Pacers +7 | Bulls +5.8 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 18, 2011 | 97–91 | Spurs +6 | Mavericks +3.6 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 18, 2011 | 82–85 | Magic +3 | Magic +4.3 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 18, 2011 | 95–99 | Pistons +4 | Knicks +1.0 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 18, 2011 | 97–108 | Suns +11 | Suns +6.2 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 18, 2011 | 98–106 | Lakers +8 | Lakers +15.7 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 18, 2011 | 102–80 | 76ers +22 | 76ers +4.5 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 18, 2011 | 107–116 | Raptors +9 | Raptors +5.4 | Regular Season |